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    Brian Balfour

    Brian Balfour is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Reforge, a professional development program focused on growth and marketing for experienced practitioners. He has a substantial background in marketing and growth strategies, having previously served as the Vice President of Growth at HubSpot from 2014 to 2016. His career also includes roles as an Entrepreneur in Residence at Trinity Ventures and as a co-founder of several startups, including Boundless Learning and Viximo, both of which achieved successful acquisitions.124

    At Reforge, Balfour has developed an 8-week program aimed at helping professionals enhance their skills and advance their careers by providing relevant knowledge, fostering relationships with peers, and offering insights from industry leaders. He is also known for his thought leadership in growth marketing, contributing articles and insights to various platforms and hosting the "Unsolicited Feedback" podcast, which discusses growth strategies and product development.235

    Balfour's expertise and insights have made him a prominent figure in the growth marketing community, influencing many practitioners in Silicon Valley and beyond.16

    Highlights

    Aug 23 · twitter

    If you want this for your company at the fraction of the cost of building internally then check out https://t.co/YWHZ0ChU3R

    Vimeo, Captions, NY Times, eToro, and many more already have.

    Jun 18 · twitter

    🆕 New Essay: The Next Great Distribution Shift The $100B cycle hiding in plain sight…

    As @onecaseman said a year ago, AI has been a technology shift without a distribution shift.

    But I think that’s about to change.

    Every platform follows the same brutal playbook:

    Open → Grow → Close → Monetize

    ↳ Facebook did it. Zynga lost 90% of its traffic overnight. ↳ Google did it. Organic results now start on scroll 8. ↳ Apple did it. 30% tax on $100B+ annually. ↳ LinkedIn is doing it RIGHT NOW. (Notice your reach dropping?)

    I want to educate people on this history so that you know how to navigate it. Because this time, the stakes are higher and the window will be shorter.

    The pattern is predictable:

    1. Competitive environment of a major category emerges (search, mobile, social, now AI) with no clear winner.
    2. The moat is identified in the category
    3. The strongest player opens gates to developers/creators with "free" access to grow and get more of what they need for the moat
    4. Closes for monetization once they hit escape velocity

    This pattern is about to repeat itself. The first two conditions of the cycle have been met:

    1. We have a competitive environment with no clear winner between OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, and maybe Apple around AI.
    2. The moat has been identified. Context + Memory.

    So who is going to be the one to make the platform move? My prediction is on OpenAI and ChatGPT.

    ↳ They have 700M users on ChatGPT ↳ They have the highest retention and engagement in the category ↳ There have been a slew of job postings hiring around an “Agent Platform” ↳ They’ve made their first move with integrations to HubSpot, Linear, and others.

    The next part of this playbook is to open up more. Attract more developers to create more usage, which captures more context/memory.

    After there is clear escape velocity from the other players, they will close it down to monetize. I think the full cycle lasts < 2 years from this point.

    The reality is that there is no opting out of the game. It's just how well you play it. This is the prisoner's dilemma of platform shifts. Everyone knows how it ends, but everyone plays because the alternative is worse.

    Choose wisely. Move deliberately. And whatever you do, don't be naive.

    The next great distribution shift isn't coming. It's here. And whether you're ready or not, you're already playing.

    🆕 New Essay: The Next Great Distribution Shift
The $100B cycle hiding in plain sight…

As @onecasem
    Feb 21 · creatoreconomy.so
    Brian Balfour (Reforge): A Deep Dive Into How the Best AI Products ...
    Brian Balfour (Reforge): A Deep Dive Into How the Best AI Products ...
    Brian Balfour: 10 lessons on career, growth, and life
    Sep 10 · TechCrunch
    How to think about growth strategically in 2020 - TechCrunch
    Jun 11 · AlleyWatch
    DJ Patil Archives - AlleyWatch

    Related Questions

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    What are the foundational elements of marketing that Brian Balfour emphasizes?
    Brian Balfour
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    San Francisco, California, United States